Exchange Rate Pass-Through into German Import Prices – A Disaggregated Perspective

Author: A Ghosh, A S Al-Abri, A.-L Delatte, Ansgar Hubertus Belke, C Hargreaves, E Berner, Florian Verheyen, H Mumtaz, J B Taylor, J Bailliu, J H Stock, J M Campa, J M Campa, J Menon, Joscha Beckmann, K A Froot, K Juselius, K Stahn, M Bussi�re, M Bussi�re, M Obstfeld, N Ben Cheikh, N Ben Cheikh, O De Bandt, R Brun-Aguerre, R Dornbusch, R Kilii, R Meese, S Johansen, S Johansen, W Enders
Publisher: Elsevier BV

ABOUT BOOK

This study analyzes the exchange rate pass-through into German import prices based on disaggregated data taken on a monthly basis between 1995 and 2012. Our main contribution is twofold: firstly, we employ various time-series techniques to analyze data for different product categories, and also cointegration techniques to carefully distinguish between short-run and long-run pass-through coefficients. Secondly, in a panel data approach we estimate time-varying pass-through coefficients and explain their development with regard to various macroeconomic factors. Our results show that long-run pass-through is only partly observable and incomplete, while short-run pass-through shows a more unique character, although heterogeneity across product groups does exist. We are also able to identify several macroeconomic factors which determine changes in the degree of pass-through, which is especially relevant for policymakers

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